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Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 18?

Chance

24%

Buy Yes

46¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

as Polymarket reports it

Spread

45¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 29 minutes ago. Ends Sep 19, 6:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on September 18, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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