Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 45% or more?

Chance

34%

Buy Yes

65¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 19 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 0%-5%?57¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 15%-20%?78¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 20%-25%?63¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 25%-30%?62¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 30%-35%?62¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 35%-40%?57¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 40%-45%?56¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election by 5%-15%?75¢
Can’t both happenWill a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election?60.9¢