Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 55% or more?

Chance

29%

Buy Yes

55¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 0%-15%?58¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 15%-25%?60¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 25%-30%?57¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 30%-35%?58¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 35%-40%?55¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 40%-45%?57¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 45%-50%?57¢
Can’t both happenWill a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election by 50%-55%?59¢
Can’t both happenWill a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election?55¢