Skip to content
Back to event

PolymarketPolymarket· Gaza · Israel · Geopolitics · Middle East

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Chance

10%

Buy Yes

11.2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

90.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 27 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 5 hours agoBought Yes at 9.6¢$3
  • 15 hours agoSold Yes at 9.5¢$0
  • 17 hours agoBought Yes at 8.6¢$7
  • 17 hours agoBought Yes at 8.6¢$7
  • 17 hours agoSold Yes at 8.6¢$9
  • 19 hours agoSold No at 88.7¢$5
  • 19 hours agoBought Yes at 10.6¢$15
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 7.6¢$0
  • yesterdaySold No at 90.4¢$7
  • yesterdaySold No at 90.5¢$27
How this market is decidedShow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.