Polymarket· Berlin · Germany · Politics · Elections

Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Chance

22%

Buy Yes

23¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

78¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 16 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill AfD win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?2.9¢
Can’t both happenWill AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?4.1¢
Can’t both happenWill AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?19¢
Can’t both happenWill AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?24¢
Can’t both happenWill AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?33.3¢
Can’t both happenWill AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?2¢