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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

Chance

7%

Buy Yes

7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

94¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$7.7K

as Polymarket reports it · 4 fills

Spread

1¢

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 18 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 3 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 6¢14,821$889
  • 5¢3,988$199
  • 4¢10,700$428
  • 3¢16,867$506
  • 2¢1,014$20

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 7¢5,334$373
  • 8¢22,365$1.8K
  • 9¢18,185$1.6K
  • 44¢18$8
  • 45¢500$225
Spread
1¢
Mid
6.5¢
Microprice
6.7¢
Within 5¢
$2.1K · $42.1K
More money on NoImbalance -91%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 37 minutes agoBought Yes at 7¢$56
  • 1 hour agoSold Yes at 7¢$65
  • 1 hour agoSold Yes at 7¢$14
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 93¢$4,650

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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