Polymarket · Tech · Finance · Business · Anthropic

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

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Chance

12%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$2.6K

as Polymarket reports it · 7 fills

Spread

1¢

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 18 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Order book

Live from the venue feed · updated 1 minute ago

Buy Yes (bids)

13¢3,833$498
12¢8,961$1.1K
11¢36,814$4K
10¢8,485$849
9¢200$18

Sell Yes (asks)

14¢5,732$802
15¢6,361$954
16¢3,869$619
93¢57$53
94¢5$5

Spread: 1¢
Mid: 13.5¢
Microprice: 13.4¢
Within 5¢: $6.5K · $13.6K

More money on NoImbalance -35%More money on Yes

Latest trades

19 minutes agoBought Yes at 13¢$83
35 minutes agoSold No at 87¢$174
35 minutes agoSold No at 87¢$174
36 minutes agoBought Yes at 13¢$130
2 hours agoSold Yes at 12¢$24
3 hours agoSold Yes at 14¢$56
3 hours agoBought Yes at 10¢$60

Rules

How this market is decided

As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

First recordedNo changes since.Sep 17, 11:06 PM UTC