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Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Chance

19%

Buy Yes

20¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

81¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$200

as Polymarket reports it · 1 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 18 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought No at 81¢$162

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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