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PolymarketPolymarket· AI Benchmarks · Recurring · Tech · Big Tech

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?

Chance

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

0.1¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 20 hours agoSold Yes at 99.9¢$11
  • yesterdayBought No at 0.1¢$0
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 99.9¢$1,370
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 99.7¢$5
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 99.6¢$5
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 99.8¢$33
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 99.5¢$2,088
  • yesterdaySold No at 0.9¢$0
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 99.2¢$33
  • yesterdayBought No at 29¢$30