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PolymarketPolymarket· AI Benchmarks · Recurring · Tech · Big Tech

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?

Chance

22%

Buy Yes

27.2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

83.5¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share