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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Chance

32%

Buy Yes

36¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

71¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$120

as Polymarket reports it · 2 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought No at 67¢$2
  • 10 hours agoSold Yes at 28.5¢$31
  • 2 days agoBought No at 71¢$10

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify. For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe. Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity. Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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