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Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Michigan and Maine?

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

33¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$24

from recorded fills · 3 fills

Spread

30¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 26 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 10 minutes agoSold Yes at $1
  • 10 minutes agoBought No at 94¢$1
  • 11 minutes agoBought No at 94¢$21

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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