Skip to content
Back to eventPolymarketPolymarket · Elon Musk · Politics · Trump · Recurring

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

2.3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.1¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$10

as Polymarket reports it

Spread

1¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 20 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 days agoSold Yes at 0.8¢$0

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

Keep going