Polymarket· Weather · Natural Disasters · Climate & Science · Science

Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 24 minutes ago. Ends Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?0.8¢
Can’t both happenWill 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?4.3¢
Can’t both happenWill 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?6¢
Can’t both happenWill 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?6¢
Can’t both happenWill 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?92¢
Can’t both happenWill 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?0.2¢

Latest trades

4 hours agoSold Yes at 0.2¢$0