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Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?

Chance

24%

Buy Yes

44¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$19

as Polymarket reports it

Spread

40¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 28 minutes ago. Ends Dec 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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