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Will 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?

Chance

<1%

Buy Yes

0.3¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$2

as Polymarket reports it

Spread

0.1¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 24 minutes ago. Ends Oct 8, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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