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Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

2.7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$50

as Polymarket reports it · 1 fills

Spread

1¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold Yes at 1.4¢$1
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 2.7¢$1
  • 3 days agoBought No at 98.5¢$20
  • 3 days agoBought No at 98.5¢$34

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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