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Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?

Chance

69%

Buy Yes

69¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

32¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Polymarket reports it

Spread

1¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 24 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 days agoBought No at 32¢$9
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 72¢$14
  • 2 days agoBought Yes at 67¢$13

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-40 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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