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Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?

Chance

50%

Buy Yes

99.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

as Polymarket reports it

Spread

98¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 21 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 5:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart. Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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