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Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?

Chance

14%

Buy Yes

17¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$92

as Polymarket reports it · 2 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Dec 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought No at 90¢$1
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 92¢$8

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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