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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

Chance

14%

Buy Yes

14¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

87¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$1.3K

as Polymarket reports it · 2 fills

Spread

1¢

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 51 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 13¢14,417$1.9K
  • 12¢11,124$1.3K
  • 11¢61,782$6.8K
  • 10¢5,146$515
  • 7¢286$20

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 14¢5,201$728
  • 15¢9,167$1.4K
  • 16¢5,713$914
  • 18¢200$36
  • 92¢44$40
Spread
1¢
Mid
13.5¢
Microprice
13.7¢
Within 5¢
$10.5K · $17.2K
More money on NoImbalance -24%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoSold No at 86¢$172
  • 4 hours agoBought Yes at 14¢$70

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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