Polymarket· IPO · Big Tech · OpenAI · IPOs

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 22 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?95.8¢
Can’t both happenWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?1.4¢
Can’t both happenWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?0.9¢
Can’t both happenWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?0.4¢
Can’t both happenWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?0.5¢
Can’t both happenWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?0.8¢

Latest trades

2 hours agoSold Yes at 0.8¢$0
yesterdaySold Yes at 0.7¢$0