Polymarket· Trump · US Election · Politics · Congress

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

97.2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

4.1¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 12 minutes ago.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades