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PolymarketPolymarket· Brazil · Main Election · Politics · Global Elections

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Chance

98%

Buy Yes

98.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

2.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 30 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 13 hours agoSold No at 2¢$0
  • 23 hours agoSold Yes at 97.3¢$29
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 97.3¢$146