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Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?

Chance

12%

Buy Yes

20¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$55

as Polymarket reports it · 2 fills

Spread

17¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Dec 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought No at 96¢$14
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 96¢$14

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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