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PolymarketPolymarket· AI · Tech · Gemini · AI Benchmarks

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Chance

47%

Buy Yes

48¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

55¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 18 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 9 minutes agoBought Yes at 32.9¢$14
  • 13 minutes agoBought Yes at 31.1¢$6
  • 16 minutes agoBought Yes at 31¢$12
  • 18 minutes agoSold Yes at 37.7¢$7
  • 18 minutes agoSold Yes at 45¢$0
  • 19 minutes agoSold Yes at 44¢$18
  • 34 minutes agoSold Yes at 45¢$0
  • 34 minutes agoSold Yes at 44¢$18
  • 39 minutes agoSold Yes at 45¢$0
  • 39 minutes agoSold Yes at 45¢$18