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PolymarketPolymarket· AI · Tech · SpaceXAI · AI Benchmarks

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?

Chance

76%

Buy Yes

77.6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

25¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 24 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 11 hours agoSold No at 24.6¢$6
  • 11 hours agoSold No at 24.6¢$16
  • 12 hours agoSold No at 24.6¢$12
  • 15 hours agoSold No at 27.7¢$7
  • 15 hours agoBought Yes at 71.9¢$104
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 71.9¢$1
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 67¢$3
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 71.2¢$14
  • yesterdayBought No at 24¢$5
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 78.2¢$1