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PolymarketPolymarket· AI · Tech · SpaceXAI · AI Benchmarks

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Chance

57%

Buy Yes

59¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

44¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 16 minutes agoSold Yes at 56¢$2
  • 16 minutes agoSold Yes at 54¢$43
  • 21 minutes agoSold Yes at 56¢$1
  • 21 minutes agoSold Yes at 54¢$22
  • 27 minutes agoSold Yes at 44¢$0
  • 27 minutes agoBought Yes at 45¢$1
  • 27 minutes agoBought Yes at 47¢$24
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 47¢$19
  • 2 hours agoBought Yes at 45¢$22
  • 2 hours agoSold Yes at 46¢$2