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PolymarketPolymarket· AI · Tech · AI Benchmarks

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Chance

89%

Buy Yes

91.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

13.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 16 hours agoBought Yes at 87.1¢$17
  • 16 hours agoBought Yes at 82.2¢$66
  • 22 hours agoBought Yes at 81.5¢$32
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 80¢$12
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 69¢$3
  • yesterdayBought No at 19¢$2
  • yesterdaySold Yes at 85¢$9