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PolymarketPolymarket· AI · Tech · Debut · Claude

Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?

Chance

20%

Buy Yes

21¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

80¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 6 hours agoSold No at 79¢$38
  • 6 hours agoBought Yes at 20.6¢$21
  • 7 hours agoSold No at 82¢$41
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 16¢$32
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 15¢$8
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 14.1¢$90
  • 12 hours agoSold Yes at 12¢$4
  • 12 hours agoSold Yes at 13¢$8
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 13¢$7
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 13¢$2