Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6% or more?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%?26¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 12%-15%?23¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 15%-18%?44¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 18% or more?6.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%?21¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6%-9%?11¢
Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 9%-12%?13¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 0%-3%?24.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 3%-6%?23.4¢

Latest trades

23 hours agoSold Yes at 0.3¢$0
yesterdayBought No at 87¢$17
yesterdaySold Yes at 14¢$3
yesterdayBought No at 86¢$18
yesterdayBought No at 86¢$172