Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 50% or more?

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

12¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

95¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election?1.2¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 0%-10%?8.6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 10%-20%?0.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 20%-25%?11¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 25%-30%?15¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 30%-35%?39¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 35%-40%?46¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 40%-45%?9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 45%-50%?14¢

Latest trades

18 minutes agoBought No at 95¢$10
18 minutes agoBought No at 95¢$10
3 hours agoSold Yes at 10¢$2
3 hours agoBought No at 90¢$5
3 hours agoBought No at 90¢$2
3 hours agoBought No at 90¢$6
3 hours agoBought No at 90¢$5
17 hours agoBought No at 85.4¢$30