Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 30% or more?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

3.2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 28 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election?1.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 0%-5%?17¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?52¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 15%-20%?18¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 20%-25%?10¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 25%-30%?3.9¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%?14.6¢

Latest trades

5 hours agoSold Yes at 1.5¢$0
5 hours agoSold Yes at 1.4¢$0
5 hours agoBought No at 96.7¢$19
5 hours agoBought No at 83.3¢$693