Polymarket· Midterms · Politics · Elections · Midterm MOV

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 45% or more?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

10.7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election?1.4¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 0%-5%?7.4¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 15%-20%?28¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?37¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 25%-30%?26¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 30%-35%?13.7¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 35%-40%?27.6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 40%-45%?7.6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 5%-15%?10¢

Latest trades

2 days agoBought No at 98.8¢$20
2 days agoBought Yes at 10.6¢$2