Polymarket· Midterms · Elections · United States · Politics

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Chance

25%

Buy Yes

26¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

76¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 12:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?2.8¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?15¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?20¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?14.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?12.5¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?10.1¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?7.6¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?4¢
Can’t both happenWill the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?4.4¢

Latest trades

14 minutes agoBought No at 76¢$23
14 minutes agoBought No at 76¢$8
6 hours agoBought Yes at 25¢$32
6 hours agoBought No at 76¢$15
9 hours agoBought Yes at 25¢$25