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Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

92¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$2.9K

as Polymarket reports it · 11 fills

Spread

round trip

Prices from Polymarket, updated 2 minutes ago.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 1 second ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 4,608$369
  • 1,706$119
  • 8,098$486
  • 15,039$752
  • 500$20

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 6,067$546
  • 10¢10,802$1.1K
  • 11¢10,101$1.1K
  • 12¢7,985$958
  • 13¢5,166$672
Spread
Mid
8.5¢
Microprice
8.4¢
Within 5¢
$1.9K · $39.1K
More money on NoImbalance -91%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoBought No at 92¢$256
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 92¢$388
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 92¢$38
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 92¢$38
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 92¢$184
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 92¢$8
  • 3 hours agoBought No at 92¢$430
  • 6 hours agoBought Yes at $8
  • 6 hours agoSold No at 91¢$36
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at $43

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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