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PolymarketPolymarket· US-Iran · Israel · Iran · Geopolitics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Chance

3%

Buy Yes

3.1¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97.6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 53 seconds ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 15 hours agoBought Yes at 3.1¢$35
  • yesterdayBought No at 97.8¢$2
  • yesterdayBought No at 97.8¢$3
  • yesterdayBought No at 97.9¢$1
  • yesterdayBought No at 97.9¢$11
  • yesterdayBought No at 97.9¢$1
  • yesterdayBought No at 97.9¢$2
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 4.1¢$247
  • yesterdayBought Yes at 3¢$50
  • yesterdayBought No at 98.2¢$11