Polymarket· Recurring · Weather · Climate & Science · Science

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Chance

6%

Buy Yes

8.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?15¢
Can’t both happenWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?54¢
Can’t both happenWill there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?26¢