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Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.4¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$181

as Polymarket reports it · 6 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Oct 8, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 13 minutes agoBought Yes at $7
  • 2 hours agoBought No at 99.4¢$1
  • 7 hours agoBought Yes at 2.2¢$1
  • 9 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$1
  • 12 hours agoBought No at 99.6¢$1
  • 17 hours agoBought No at 98¢$19

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States around September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping kiss at any point during this summit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Video or photographic evidence of the kiss must be released during the summit to qualify. A qualifying kiss is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the lips of one individual touching another individual. A qualifying kiss need not be reciprocal; a kiss on the cheek or hand from either party will qualify. For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory. This market may resolve once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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