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Will Trump say "Melania" during his Rose Garden dinner?

Chance

49%

Buy Yes

97¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$37

as Polymarket reports it · 1 fills

Spread

96¢

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Sep 17, 11:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought No at 86¢$32

Rules

How this market is decided
As Polymarket states them. Rules on Polymarket

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Rose Garden dinner on September 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during his Rose Garden dinner on September 17, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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