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Game Spread: Paula Badosa (-3.5) vs Mary Stoiana (+3.5)

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

54¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

47¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$115

as Polymarket reports it · 4 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Polymarket, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Sep 25, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoSold Mary Stoiana at 43¢$1
  • 4 hours agoSold Mary Stoiana at 45¢$2
  • 9 hours agoBought Mary Stoiana at 47¢$1
  • 9 hours agoBought Paula Badosa at 55¢$29

Rules

How this market is decided

This market will resolve to "Paula Badosa" if Paula Badosa wins 3.5 or more total games than Mary Stoiana in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mary Stoiana". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Paula Badosa could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Mary Stoiana". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rule history

  1. Changed: game startGame start moved from 2026-09-18T21:30:00Z to 2026-09-18T20:30:00Z.
  2. Changed: game startGame start moved from 2026-09-18T13:00:00Z to 2026-09-18T21:30:00Z.
  3. First recorded

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