
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
The market resolves based on when an AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 21% | — | 21¢ | |
| Before 2028 | 88% | — | 90¢ | |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 75% | — | 97¢ | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 72% | — | 76¢ | |
| Before 2027 | 51% | — | 53¢ | |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 46% | — | 50¢ |
Before Oct 1, 2026
21%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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