
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 17, 2026?
This market resolves based on the magnitude of the biggest earthquake that occurs on September 17, 2026.
Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude of at least 5.2 | 87% | — | 92¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.4 | 73% | — | 78¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.6 | 60% | — | 62¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.8 | 44% | — | 45¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.0 | 31% | — | 32¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.2 | 22% | — | 22¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.4 | 18% | — | 23¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.6 | 14% | — | 19¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 6.8 | 11% | — | 16¢ | |
| Magnitude of at least 7.0 | 6% | — | 8¢ |
Magnitude of at least 5.2
87%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
Discussion
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