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natural disasters

40+ markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $3.4K traded today.

MarketChance24hBest priceVolume 24h
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?8WeatherEnds Jun 30, 202744%—Polymarket44¢$1K
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Kalshi7¢$514
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20269%—Polymarket9¢$489
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?Above 0WeatherEnds Dec 1, 202632%—Kalshi33¢$317
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026?Magnitude of at least 5.2WeatherEnds Sep 16, 202645%—Kalshi54¢$315
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?New JerseyWeatherEnds Dec 7, 20268%—Polymarket9.2¢$225
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 14 - September 20?0WeatherEnds Sep 21, 202658%—Polymarket59¢$206
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?7.0+WeatherEnds Sep 30, 202652%—Kalshi53¢$154
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?7.0+WeatherEnds Oct 3, 202645%—Polymarket47¢$96
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Tech & ScienceIn play8%—Polymarket8.9¢$43
Major volcano eruption in 2026?At least 3WeatherEnds Jun 29, 202722%—Kalshi25¢$30
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 204928%—Kalshi29¢$12
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?Tech & ScienceEnds Dec 31, 202945%—Kalshi46¢$7
Which cities face tornado risk on September 16?Birmingham, ALWeatherIn play50%—Polymarket99¢—
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?1250+WeatherEnds Jan 9, 202791%—Polymarket92¢—
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?7.9 or belowWeatherEnds Jan 3, 202775%—Polymarket75¢—
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?1WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202655%—Polymarket63¢—
Hurricane Nana category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202610%—Kalshi18¢—
US Tornadoes in September 202625 - 49WeatherEnds Oct 14, 202667%—Polymarket88¢—
Hurricane Vance category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202650%—Kalshi98¢—
Hurricane Xavier category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202650%—Kalshi98¢—
Hurricane Winnie category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202650%—Kalshi98¢—
Hurricane Isaias category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202650%—Kalshi98¢—
Hurricane Gonzalo category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202650%—Kalshi98¢—
Hurricane Fay category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202626%—Kalshi49¢—
Hurricane Edouard category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 20261%—Kalshi1¢—
Hurricane Kyle category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202614%—Kalshi20¢—
Hurricane Leah category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202611%—Kalshi20¢—
Hurricane Marco category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202611%—Kalshi20¢—
Hurricane Odalys category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 202650%—Kalshi98¢—
Hurricane Omar category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 20266%—Kalshi11¢—
Hurricane Paulette category?Category 1 or aboveWeatherEnds Dec 1, 20267%—Kalshi11¢—
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?JapanWeatherEnds Oct 3, 202645%—Polymarket60¢—
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?Before Oct 1, 2026WeatherEnds Aug 31, 20268%—Kalshi8¢—
How many major Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?Above 0WeatherEnds Dec 1, 202699%———
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20262%—Polymarket1.8¢—
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20265%—Polymarket8¢—
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202614%—Polymarket20¢—
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 202621%—Polymarket21¢—
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherEnds Dec 31, 20266%—Polymarket6¢—