Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
The market resolves based on whether a major meteor strike with an impact energy of 10 kilotons or more occurs in 2026.
Polymarket$326 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | 9% | — | 9¢ |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
9%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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