Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
The market resolves based on whether there is a major volcano eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index of 6 or greater in 2026.
Polymarket$43 traded 24hIn progressOutcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | 8% | — | 9.5¢ |
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
8%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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