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Topic
geology
9 markets across Kalshi and Polymarket, $768 traded today.
natural disasters
volcanoes
earthquakes
science
weather
earth science
mount etna
vesuvius
Market
Chance
24h
Last 24h
Best price
Volume 24h
What will the biggest earthquake be on Sep 16, 2026?
Magnitude of at least 6.8
·
Weather
·
Ends Sep 16, 2026
2%
—
2¢
$512
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Oct 1, 2026?
7.0+
·
Weather
·
Ends Sep 30, 2026
52%
—
53¢
$154
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Tech & Science
In play
8%
—
9.8¢
$43
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
At least 3
·
Weather
·
Ends Jun 29, 2027
22%
—
25¢
$30
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
·
Weather
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
51%
—
54¢
$17
Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050?
Weather
·
Ends Dec 31, 2049
28%
—
29¢
$12
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
·
Weather
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
52%
—
58¢
—
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
Weather
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
5%
—
7.9¢
—
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?
Weather
·
Ends Dec 31, 2026
14%
—
20¢
—
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