Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
This market resolves based on whether Mount Vesuvius has an eruption with a Volcanic Explosivity Index of 1 or more in 2026.
PolymarketEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026? | 5% | — | 7.9¢ |
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
5%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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