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PolymarketPolymarket· Weather · Science · Erupt · Mt. Vesuvius

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share