How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

This market resolves based on the number of large volcano eruptions with a VEI of 4 or greater in 2026.

PolymarketEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
1	52%	—	58¢
0	42%	—	50¢
2	7%	—	9.3¢
3	6%	—	9.4¢
5+	1%	—	1.2¢
4	1%	—	0.7¢

52%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Posts and calls about this event

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